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IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.The national carbon market closed down 1.29% to 99.90 yuan/ton today. The comprehensive price of the national carbon market today is: the opening price is 101.15 yuan/ton, the highest price is 101.29 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 99.88 yuan/ton, and the closing price is 99.90 yuan/ton, which is 1.29% lower than the previous day. Today, the transaction volume of the listing agreement is 664,139 tons, with a turnover of 66,059,732.39 yuan; The volume of bulk agreement transactions was 8,504,320 tons, with a turnover of 841,280,251.88 yuan.The US media said that the Biden administration is considering imposing new sanctions on Russian oil trade. Informed sources: The details have yet to be finalized. The Bloomberg website reported on the 10th local time that the Biden administration is considering imposing new sanctions on Russian oil trade before Trump returns to the White House, and the specific details have yet to be finalized. The article said that the Biden administration is weighing new and stricter sanctions against Russia's lucrative oil trade, trying to increase pressure on the Kremlin before Trump returns to the White House. According to an insider who asked not to be named, the details of possible new measures are still being worked out, but Biden's team is considering imposing restrictions on some Russian oil exports. Up to now, the Russian side has not responded. (CCTV)

Treasury futures turned green for 30 years, and treasury futures turned down. The 30-year main contracts turned green and fell by 0.03% to 116.94. The 10-year main contract was reported at 108.17, and the increase narrowed to 0.02%.The 2.53 billion shares held by Greenland Group have been frozen. According to the legal litigation information of Tianyancha, recently, Guangxi Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd. added a piece of information on the freezing of shares. The executor is Greenland Holding Group Co., Ltd., and the amount of frozen shares is about 2.53 billion RMB. The freezing period is from December 9, 2024 to December 8, 2027. The enforcement court is Wanzhou District People's Court in Chongqing.Dagang shares: the bankruptcy proceedings of China University of Science and Technology Port have ended, and Dagang shares announced that the bankruptcy proceedings of Jiangsu University of Science and Technology Port Laser Technology Co., Ltd., a holding subsidiary of the company, have ended. Since the bankruptcy administrator took over the port of China University of Science and Technology, it is no longer included in the scope of the company's consolidated statements.

The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.This year's 2 trillion special bonds for replacing hidden debts have all disclosed that the planned issuance amount of six provinces exceeds 10 million. According to the documents disclosed on China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue 4.7 billion yuan of special bonds for refinancing to replace existing hidden debts, of which the issuance scale of 3-year, 7-year and 10-year special bonds for refinancing is 800 million yuan, 2.725 billion yuan and 1.175 billion yuan respectively. It is worth mentioning that since November 12, the total amount of refinancing special bonds to be issued or issued to replace existing implicit debts has reached 2 trillion yuan. This means that all the refinancing special bonds used by local governments to replace hidden debts have been disclosed this year. (澎湃)IEA Monthly Report: Despite the rising demand, the oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that although OPEC+extended the reduction of oil supply and the demand forecast was slightly higher than expected, the global oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. In its monthly oil market report, the agency said that its forecast of global oil demand growth in 2025 was raised from 990,000 barrels per day last month to 1.1 million barrels per day, "mainly from Asian countries, especially affected by China's recent stimulus measures".